MATCHUPS
Pick any two fighters and compare attributes, records, and stylistic edges.
Matchup breakdown
Insufficient data — this comparison is withheld rather than guessed.
Insufficient data — this comparison is withheld rather than guessed.
Gracie controls the entry line with reach.
Gracie ends fights inside the distance more often.
Aggregated from striking, wrestling, grappling, pace, finishing, and fight IQ edges. Run the AI projection below for a round-by-round read.
Where each phase is won
Phase-by-phase separation with an estimate of how much of the fight is likely to be spent there. Derived from attribute ratings and recorded finish data — not measured from footage.
Gracie holds the edge by 63 points in this phase.
HISTGracie holds the edge by 76 points in this phase.
HISTGracie holds the edge by 93 points in this phase.
HISTGracie holds the edge by 86 points in this phase.
HISTGracie holds the edge by 68 points in this phase.
HISTMost of this fight lives in striking at range, and that is Gracie's phase. The opposing corner has to change the location of the fight to win it.
Gracie profile 68/100 · Banal profile 66/100. A matchup is only as trustworthy as the weaker profile.
- Gracie: source coverage — 1 independent source referenced.
- Gracie: written scouting analysis — Scouting report not generated yet.
- Gracie: video evidence — No authorized footage linked yet.
- Banal: source coverage — 1 independent source referenced.
- Banal: written scouting analysis — Scouting report not generated yet.
- Banal: video evidence — No authorized footage linked yet.
Likely tactical battle
Open stance (southpaw vs orthodox)
mediumBanal fights southpaw against an orthodox opponent. Open-stance matchups are decided by lead-foot position and the rear straight down the middle; the lead hook and calf kick become the highest-percentage entries for both corners.
Cross-discipline matchup
lowGracie competes in BJJ and Banal in Boxing. Only attributes shared by both rule sets are compared — skills that don't exist in one sport are excluded rather than scored as weaknesses.
Path to victory — Roger Gracie
medium- 1.Force the fight into striking at range — the phase with clear separation in Gracie's favour.
- 2.Use late rounds as the secondary route when the first is neutralised.
Path to victory — A. J. Banal
medium- 1.Deny striking at range; that is where Gracie scores.
Swing factors
- Striking at range — Closest phase on the board — a small execution edge here flips the read.
- Age gap — 9 years between them; Banal is the younger fighter.
- Open stance — Stance mismatch changes which strikes are available to both corners.
Keys to Victory · Gracie
- Not enough evidence on file to separate these two — expect the sharper game-plan on the night to decide it.
Keys to Victory · Banal
- Not enough evidence on file to separate these two — expect the sharper game-plan on the night to decide it.
Danger Zones
- Lead-hand collisions when stances cross — watch the rear straight.
- Scrambles after the takedown — never give up the back.
- Lead-hand collisions when stances cross — watch the rear straight.
- Mid-round adjustments — patterns get punished by round 2.
Camp Priorities
Drill list for fight week- 1Stack southpaw sparring partners 3x/week.
- 2Cardio block: 5x5 hard rounds, no rest between.
- 1Posture and frame work off bottom; no submission flow rolls.
- 2Orthodox volume strikers — drill lead-hand exchanges.
- 3Cardio block: 5x5 hard rounds, no rest between.
Matchup Read
Cross-discipline matchup: BJJ vs Boxing — styles make fights. Roger Gracie owns the striking edge on paper. Roger Gracie should dictate where the fight takes place via wrestling. If it hits the mat, Roger Gracie is the more dangerous grappler. Roger Gracie is likely to be fresher in the championship rounds.
AI Fight Simulator
Round-by-round projection driven by both fighters' attributes, tendencies, and recent form.